Tag Archives: Math

Rubio voters supported Trump

Rubio and Kasich must go… It has been proven that they are merely vanity candidates whose effect is making the nomination easier for Trump to win. Whether you like it or not, the choice is not between Trump, Cruz, Rubio and Kasich, the choice is only between Trump and Cruz, and every vote for the perennial losers Rubio and Kasich helps Trump.

Think that is wrong, consider this: if Rubio’s voters had stayed home in Idaho, Trump would have won no delegates there. If you look at the vote tallies in ID  (from RCP), Cruz had about 101k, Trump about 62k, Rubio 35k and Kasich 16k. With those numbers, Cruz took about 45% of the vote. If all Rubio voters had stayed home, those same numbers would have given Cruz about 56% of the vote (leaving Kasich voters in the calculation) and all 32 delegates. (The same method, just leaving out Kasich gives Cruz 50.7% of the vote… so this goes for Kasich voters too.) So, intentionally or not, those 35k people who voted for Rubio, by voting for Rubio, gave Trump 12 delegates. They actively, though unintentionally, supported Trump… That should turn the stomach of anyone who voted Rubio or Kasich yesterday. (With some exception to the Kasich voters in MI… at least it seemed plausible from the polling that he might win. But now, he is clearly in the same category as Rubio.)

Its hard not to be frustrated…. But this is why Cruz ought to crush Kasich and Rubio in their home states. If those two stay in, Trump will win the nomination. If they don’t, we get to at least have a choice. You may not like Cruz, but consider if you actually want to hand delegates to Trump (as Rubio voters did in ID).


(And yes, two days ago I finally broke down and gave a few bucks to Cruz… because I figured this was coming… but I figured that in all honesty I should let people know that I am writing this as a very small dollar donor to Cruz…)