Tag Archives: politics

An Experiment in Knowing: Qanon

I have thought a lot about how people in the modern world can separate fact from fiction, how to determine who is lying, and get at some semblance of the truth. Since Qanon suddenly became the massive story (as predicted…by Q… maybe that wasn’t a hard prediction to make, but it is a data point), and I have been tracking the Q story for a while I thought it would make a great test case in Internet Epistemology… Mostly because if it is true, it is the biggest thing happening today, and if false, is an amazing example of narrative building.

But first, a couple of points.

  1. A conspiracy theory is just the derogatory term for the idea that a large number of people make plans in private. This idea is not actually false: see the Bolsheviks, the Borgias, political campaigns, business deals… calling it a ‘conspiracy theory’ is just the modern way to make it so that people don’t have to think, they can just dismiss something as ‘tin foil hat’.
  2. There are pedophiles and evil people do evil things. Rich, powerful, evil people almost certainly have the means to get away with an amount of evil that most Christians cannot imagine.
  3. The Hollywood gossip blog Crazy Days and Nights (CDAN) has accurately called a number of ‘surprise’ sex scandals long before the news broke, including Weinstein.
  4. That CDAN has for a long time been posting about large scale procurement and delivery methods for pedophiles is a data point not easily dismissed, especially in light of the NXIVM cult. A demand for something produces a market and logistics…
  5. So, that Qanon spends a decent amount of time talking about cracking down on pedophiles does not disqualify the group.

So first, who is Qanon? Somebody is posting in places like 8chan somewhat cryptic posts. You can see all of them archived here: Q posts. Here is an example:

I won’t try to unpack it. The idea is that Q is someone, probably military intelligence, who is close to President Trump. This person, or team, is using the obsessive types who spend time on sites like 4chan and 8chan to process hints into real intel that the wider public could digest in order to prepare the country for what it actually means to ‘drain the swamp’.

If you think these internet types are useless… check out this…

So, if these obsessive types could be pointed at the right targets, they could become a kind of minuteman intelligence agency. Not really for gathering intelligence for the government, but taking hints about what the Military types and Trump know and running it down so that people know. These are the same types who brought down James Gunn…

That guy is a creeper… a very wealthy powerful creep… at minimum.

Qanon basically states that the powerful swamp types are often pedophiles and the frequently members of  (or associated with) a kind of loosely-knit satanic movement that at least occasionally also indulges in human sacrifice. (I know, most readers are now busting out their tin-foil to mock Q, but wait, for now, until at least the end of our Internet Epistemology.) And that Trump is moving through a massive, tedious, and tricky process to root out as much as possible i.e. ‘Drain the Swamp’. The role of Qanon is 1) keep the Trump supporters engaged and motivated 2) help prepare people to come to terms with the evil that is just out of sight around every corner (would make the Catholic Priest scandal seem little in comparison) and 3) spread some disinformation to the ‘black hats’ when necessary.

Is this impossible? Well, the Devil whishes to be worshipped and has always really enjoyed pedophilia and child sacrifice. Over at ‘The Other McCain’ (a site you should read often…) McCain writes:

Just yesterday, I wrote about a CIA leaker busted for child pornography. It is very easy to write a phrase like “obviously unhinged” to dismiss suspicions about “child sex rings” as a way to imply that (a) such things don’t exist, (b) no Democrats or celebrities could be involved, and (c) Trump couldn’t actually be working to bust “child sex rings.” Isn’t it a curious coincidence, however, that celebrities were involved the NXIVM sex cult, which didn’t get busted until Trump became president? And let me remind you of a few headlines:

President of NYC Young Democrats Arrested
on Child Pornography Charges

May 27, 2017

Child Pornography Arrest Exposes
Australian TV Reporter’s Sordid Gay Life

April 18, 2017

Canadian Gay Child Pornography Merchant
Reportedly Made $4 Million

Aug. 9, 2016

Australian Gay-Marriage Crusader Was
Fugitive Wanted on Kiddie Porn Charge

May 14, 2016

Gay Pedophiles Used ‘Multiple Fake
Female Personas’ in Child Porn Ring

March 18, 2014

Famous Gay Rights Activist Now Also
Famous for Child Pornography Habits

Jan. 25, 2014

University of Toronto Education Professor
Arrested on Child Pornography Charges

July 8, 2013

Two Gay Men Used Russian Surrogate Mother
to Create Boy for Sex Abuse Ring

July 1, 2013

That’s just a small sample of creeps who’ve been busted the past few years, and don’t forget about this story from 2014:

A new lawsuit has revealed the extent of former President Clinton’s friendship with a fundraiser who was later jailed for having sex with an underage prostitute.
Bill Clinton’s relationship with Jeffrey Epstein, who served time in 2008 for his illegal sexual partners, included up multiple trips to the onetime billionaire’s private island in the Caribbean where underage girls were allegedly kept as sex slaves. . . .
Tales of orgies and young girls being shipped to the island, called Little St. James, have been revealed as part of an ongoing lawsuit between Epstein and his former lawyers Scott Rothstein and Bradley Edwards.

A billionaire friend of Bill Clinton had a private island with teenage sex slaves, but it’s “obviously unhinged” to suspect that other Democrats and celebrities may eventually be exposed as pedophiles? Is it far-fetched to think President Trump may be getting Justice Department briefings about ongoing investigations of child sex rings? Is it a crazy conspiracy theory to believe that some administration “insiders” might know who’s under investigation, and that they might anonymously post tips on Internet forums?

Also, that Jeffrey Epstein has this on his private island.

See the source image

That is a temple, as per admission… and well, its not anything good. Zoom in of the statues…

Alright, now that you know a tiny taste of what Qanon is about (For a further, very detailed, introduction see: Neon Revolt). We have now started our Internet Epistemology (IE). We must not dismiss something just because all the news outlets over the last 48 hours have called it crazy. We can check  background issues like the existence of NXIVM, Epstein, and the apparent increase in crackdown on pedophiles. And reasonably can conclude that more consideration is needed. We can continue with our IE experiment.

Let us investigate the claim that Q is close to President Trump. Sometimes, Q signs off as Q+ and that is intended to mean that Trump himself posted that post. That is how close we are talking. Lets take Q post #1776. Being an America First type, Q obviously had to commemorate that number somehow. He posted this picture.

The question is: is that or is it not, Donald Trump’s signature under the pen. (And why cover half the signature?) If you compare, it is reasonable to accept that the signature is Trump’s. Does that prove that Q could step over to Trump and say ‘Hey, I need to post #1776, could you sign it?’ No, it really doesn’t. With phenomenal planning, the President’s signature is not impossible to come by.

Next, we have a video of the presidents motorcade passing some supporters, one of whom has a sign asking Q to honk. and… listen, it is towards the end of the 1 min clip.

Many Q followers point out that the Morse code for ‘Q’ is dash – dash – dot -dash… what the white van at the back of the motorcade beeped… Does that mean that Q is real?

.

.

.

Not really, but it probably does prove that someone travelling with the president knows about Q, at least.

How about Trump recognizing a Q shirt?

Or… or… or… if you believe Q, the evidence is everywhere (there are many, so called ‘Q confirmations’). It could be brilliantly engineered confirmation bias, or it could be real. If you don’t believe it, every proof has deniability. And then again  Q would say that was on purpose so that the plan could be followed. Q often reminds people to ‘Trust the Plan’

How can we know? What is real? Every Christian epistemology must start with what we know from what scripture teaches us. We know that throughout the old testament the Israelites bounced between sacrificing their children and fornicating by the Ashtaroth poles and begging God not to destroy them utterly. We know that the Prince of this world is powerful and real. We also can infer some of his favorite things: such as Child Sacrifice. Why would he give that up now, knowing the depravity and wickedness of the current generation? We also know that God raises up men from time to time to punish the wicked and bring comfort to His people. Is that Donald Trump? Maybe, maybe not. But I can say this: the narrative that has been masterfully built by Qanon fits reality far better than the narrative built by the MSM.

I think this is summed up best by McCain again

OK, maybe that’s all tinfoil-hat stuff, but you can’t just call it “baseless claims” and pretend you’ve proven that everything about #QAnon is false. Because for all you know, next week’s headlines will be a new scandal you never imagined in your wildest dreams, and the #QAnon guys will point to a previous tip and say, “See? We told you so!”

One of the best parts about the Qanon is that predictions are made, and sometimes seem to come true. Also, Qanon has an expiration date of November of this year. We will know one way or another. Either a lot of powerful (whether you know their names or not, like Tony Podesta) people go to jail or they don’t.

I think that Qanon is near the president and is at least a counter narrative. Maybe some or many things are not true, but the narrative is truer than that found in the MSM. I think Qanon works to build a back-channel between Trump and the American people so that the conspiratorial monopoly of the MSM cannot destroy the country. (If you think they are not in a conspiracy, look up Journ0list)

I think that Qanon is part of the show that our realty TV president is putting on, all while working for peace in Korea and 4.1% GDP growth and high employment. Whether it is more than that remains to be seen. Internet Epistemology at his point is at least well begun. And as they say, well begun is half done.

Either way, as Q would say, ‘Enjoy the show’.

Update: Q has been posting “Something BIG is about to drop. Q” on and off for a couple of days… so maybe the timeline for knowing the truth is sooner than November…

Rubio voters supported Trump

Rubio and Kasich must go… It has been proven that they are merely vanity candidates whose effect is making the nomination easier for Trump to win. Whether you like it or not, the choice is not between Trump, Cruz, Rubio and Kasich, the choice is only between Trump and Cruz, and every vote for the perennial losers Rubio and Kasich helps Trump.

Think that is wrong, consider this: if Rubio’s voters had stayed home in Idaho, Trump would have won no delegates there. If you look at the vote tallies in ID  (from RCP), Cruz had about 101k, Trump about 62k, Rubio 35k and Kasich 16k. With those numbers, Cruz took about 45% of the vote. If all Rubio voters had stayed home, those same numbers would have given Cruz about 56% of the vote (leaving Kasich voters in the calculation) and all 32 delegates. (The same method, just leaving out Kasich gives Cruz 50.7% of the vote… so this goes for Kasich voters too.) So, intentionally or not, those 35k people who voted for Rubio, by voting for Rubio, gave Trump 12 delegates. They actively, though unintentionally, supported Trump… That should turn the stomach of anyone who voted Rubio or Kasich yesterday. (With some exception to the Kasich voters in MI… at least it seemed plausible from the polling that he might win. But now, he is clearly in the same category as Rubio.)

Its hard not to be frustrated…. But this is why Cruz ought to crush Kasich and Rubio in their home states. If those two stay in, Trump will win the nomination. If they don’t, we get to at least have a choice. You may not like Cruz, but consider if you actually want to hand delegates to Trump (as Rubio voters did in ID).

 

(And yes, two days ago I finally broke down and gave a few bucks to Cruz… because I figured this was coming… but I figured that in all honesty I should let people know that I am writing this as a very small dollar donor to Cruz…)

Trump is…. Batman?

Every conservative wants a hero, a Reagan reincarnated, a principled, constitutional president who can usher in a new era of limited federal government. Apparently they ran out of unicorn farts at the wish store. I’ve long thought that the true focus for conservative reform must be state and local first: because what we really need is a re-engagement of normal people into the world of politics. We have too many Law students, too many natural born politicians working in think tanks and running newspapers… even on the conservative side. We need more regular random people on school boards, in village government and in the statehouse. It is as if, when conservatives think about reclaiming our limited government heritage, they forget that America is in reality 50 semi-sovereign entities… I personally expect that the best we can do with the federal government and bureaucracies is to hold the line while we get our states in order. Wisconsin is becoming saner and saner by the week. That’s what really needs to happen.

And so, I present to you our much maligned hero, Trump. The rap on Trump is that he is not a conservative. National Review unloaded all the cannons at him. The entire conservative elite (and there is one, no mistake) is more intent on beating Trump than on winning in 2016. Because he is not conservative. And the general reply of Trump supporters is, I suspect… ‘Duh.’

So, Trump is not the hero we want… what if he is perhaps the hero we deserve? The hero we need?

What if Trump is Batman? (He’s a billionaire… so step one is complete)

Consider this: America is no longer lying to itself about Bill Clinton. And, as John Nolte put it at Brietbart:

…(W)hat did the serial losers in the GOP Establishment do when the media declared Bill’s past off-limits?  Even though Hillary and the DC Media were already laying the groundwork to War on Women them to death, these spineless cowards couldn’t wait to surrender. In other words, they agreed to play by the DC Media’s rules — rules specifically designed to destroy Republican candidates.

And then along came The Donald.

In less than a week, Trump performed a bona fide miracle. In less than a week, Trump did what no other Republican has been able to do in 25 years. In less than a week, Trump lifted his middle finger to the corrupt media and went on a truth-telling terror about an alleged serial-abuser and his enabler wife.

The clouds parted.

The sun rose.

A rainbow formed.

And after 25 long years, the truth finally stuck to Slick Willy.

America is currently choked, the very air that America breathes has been sucked out of the country by the political and educational elites. Where are our 1st amendment crusaders? The NRA and others do a fine job advancing the 2nd, but the 1st embodies the right to think and say and act on what you believe. The right to say what you think is the air that freedom breathes. And currently Donald J. Trump is doing CPR. He is breaking down the system that limits what you can say, what you can think. And at the same time he is taking not insignificant personal damage.

If Trump continues to smash the ‘Overton Windows‘ he will be (though largely derided and unacknowledged) a great American hero. A hero for leading a revolution against the tyrants of the mind. We can only hope that irrespective of the results of the 2016 campaigns, that this revolution is successful.

(I say all this as a Walker supporter :(, who now is generally agnostic about the race since the WI primary will be irrelevant.)

The Appeal of Trump

Trump is like the blue-collar working man… An outrageous thing to claim perhaps, given his billions. But consider this: If you had a billion dollars, what would you do with it? Would you do all trust funds and tax shelters? Or would you build the billionaire’s version of a new bass boat… with a glitter finish?

TrumpInternationalHotelandTower-Chicago-00907-006a

If you added a few billion dollars to an average working man, would he dry up and be a desiccated figure like Warren Buffett? Or would he marry a supermodel and build an ocean-view golf course?

Q.E.D.

 

Books and Their Covers

It is an old cliche to not judge a book by its cover. And like many others, I take exception to it. In its usual application for people, it makes the least sense. A good book may be given a bad cover by a bad publisher, but in general people usually have to be judged, at least temporarily, by their ‘cover’. In almost every situation, you are required to act upon what you think of the people around you without anywhere near enough time to develop a nuanced and non-superficial view of these people.

There is another way that this is flawed as well. Look at this picture, this cover of a man.51_filnerSometimes you don’t read the book because the cover is revolting. And that, I believe, is perfectly reasonable.

Glue

A pressing question from VD Hanson and an answer that is, perhaps a little unsatisfactory… certainly a topic worth thinking about and an eventuality  worth preparing for.

So why is the United States not experiencing something like the rioting in Turkey or Brazil, or the murder of thousands in Mexico? How are we able to avoid the bloody chaos of Syria, the harsh dictatorships of Russia and China, the implosion of Egypt, or the economic hopelessness now endemic in southern Europe?

About half of America and many of its institutions operate as they always have. Caltech and MIT are still serious. Neither interjects race, class, and gender studies into its engineering or physics curricula. Most in the IRS, unlike some of their bosses, are not corrupt. For the well driller, the power-plant operator, and the wheat farmer, the lies in Washington are still mostly an abstraction.

Get up at 5:30 a.m. and you’ll see that your local freeways are jammed with hard-working commuters. They go to work every day, support their families, pay their taxes, and avoid arrest — so that millions of others do not have to do the same. The U.S. military still more closely resembles our heroes from World War II than it resembles the culture of the Kardashians.

Like diverse citizens of imperial Rome, we are united in some fashion by shared popular tastes and mass consumerism. The cell phones and cars of the poor offer more computing power and better transportation than the rich enjoyed just 20 years ago.

You should probably read the rest at NRO.

Pandora’s Box